Tuesday, April 30, 2019
The Elite Get More Elite
Washington’s Deeper, Richer
& Murkier Swamp
Until the latest of our world conflicts,
the United States had no armaments industry. American makers of plowshares
could, with time and as required, make swords as well. But we can no longer
risk emergency improvisation of national defense. We have been compelled to
create a permanent armaments industry of vast proportions. Added to this, three
and a half million men and women are directly engaged in the defense
establishment. We annually spend on military security alone more than the net
income of all United States corporations. Now this conjunction of an immense military establishment and a large arms
industry is new in the American experience. The total influence—economic,
political, even spiritual—is felt in every city, every Statehouse, every office
of the Federal government. We recognize the imperative need for this
development. Yet, we must not fail to comprehend its grave implications. Our
toil, resources, and livelihood are all involved. So is the very structure of
our society.
In the councils of government, we must
guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or
unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous
rise of misplaced power exists and will persist. We must never let the weight
of this combination endanger our liberties or democratic processes. We should
take nothing for granted. Only an alert and knowledgeable citizenry can compel
the proper meshing of the huge industrial and military machinery of defense
with our peaceful methods and goals, so that security and liberty may prosper
together.
From Republican President (and former five star general) Dwight David
Eisenhower’s televised farewell speech to the nation, January 17, 1961.
It no secret how it works. Spread
your military bases and your military manufacturing contractors and
subcontractors into as many congressional districts as possible – Democrat and
Republican – knowing that all appropriations bills emanate from the House of
Representatives. Make sure that the military gets first crack at the money,
making sure that “national security” is embedded in the minds of every American
and their elected representatives. So what if the United States now accounts
for almost 40% of the global military budget, more than the next seven biggest
spenders combined? $719 billion!
Even as just about every major new
weapon system soars vastly beyond even the most inflated going-in budget, even
as military tactics and challenges change dramatically, we are saddled with
incumbent mega-powerful (campaign-contributing) military vendors who just want
to keep that military money flowing into their coffers. Playing close to the
bone with legal holdbacks on employing former senior military officers, the
ranks of the military industrial complex are filled with ex-admirals and
generals with consulting or better offered to former elected officials. It
stinks!
Donald “Swamp Thing” Trump
administers a much more sinister military industrial complex today. While there
certainly are more than enough plants and military bases to pepper a rather
dramatically large number of Congressional districts, what has changed is the
growing concentration of power in some of this nation’s largest defense
contractors. The rich are definitely richer. Trump loves giving money to those
who do not need it, taking it away from those who are desperate for it. It’s
gotten worse over the years:
“The year was 1989. The Pentagon was
under the command of President George H.W. Bush and Defense Secretary Dick
Cheney. And aviation giant McDonnell Douglas Corp. was riding high as the top
federal contractor, grabbing 4.6%, or $9.15 billion, of all federal contracting
dollars. The next two largest contractors, General Dynamics Corp. and General
Electric Co., raked in about 4% and 3.4%, respectively.
“Thirty years and many acquisitions
later, Pentagon spending has grown far more top-heavy… Today, Lockheed Martin
Corp. and Boeing — which bought McDonnell Douglas in 1997 — together reaped
almost 15% of total U.S. government contracting dollars in fiscal year 2017,
according to the most recent federal numbers. The two aerospace giants are the
only makers of fast combat jets in the U.S. and are the dominant players for
military transport aircraft.
“The concentrated power of big
defense companies became an issue two years ago when longtime Boeing executive
Patrick Shanahan was confirmed as deputy secretary of Defense. Then in
December, President Trump named him to serve as acting Defense secretary.
“After a monthlong ethics
investigation into allegations that Shanahan promoted Boeing while slamming
rival Lockheed Martin, particularly in discussions about its F-35 fighter jet
contract, the Pentagon’s office of inspector general concluded Thursday that
Shanahan ‘did not promote Boeing or disparage its competitors.”
“We did not substantiate any of the
allegations,” the report said. “We determined that Mr. Shanahan fully complied
with his ethics agreements and his ethical obligations regarding Boeing and its
competitors.’… Shanahan is considered a leading candidate for permanent Defense
secretary…
“The question of possible favoritism
toward Boeing had also been raised by some when the U.S. Air Force, in its 2020
budget, made a surprise request to purchase F-15X fighter jets, an update of
that company’s fourth-generation jet. The Air Force, Navy and Marine Corps have
all made major commitments to the F-35, Lockheed Martin’s more advanced and
pricier fifth-generation fighter.
“The inspector general report said
the Pentagon’s mix of fourth- and fifth-generation aircraft was a decision made
by former Defense Secretary James N. Mattis before Shanahan’s confirmation to
the department. A Defense official told trade publication Defense News that the
decision was bolstered by concerns about keeping ‘multiple providers in the
tactical aircraft portfolio.’
“But there was no contract
competition based on a set of defined requirements — the way business typically
works in the industry, said Richard Aboulafia, aviation analyst at market
analysis firm Teal Group…‘It’s a duopoly structure business with a lot at
stake,’ he said of fast combat jet manufacturing. ‘It’s amazing that no one
considered the optics here.’” Los Angeles Times, April 28th. That
Social Security and Medicare are running out of money or that the Trump
Administration is trying to use the courts to kill the Affordable Care Act with
nothing to replace it? Hey, those programs are for the little guys, and Donald
Trump doesn’t represent them!
I’m Peter Dekom, and history is rife with
failed governments (remember Sparta for starters the Soviet Union more
recently?) that overspent on their military and ignored their people; are we
next?
Monday, April 29, 2019
I Just Don’t Want to Know
“It took President Trump 601 days to
top 5,000 false and misleading claims in The Fact Checker’s database, an average of eight claims a
day… But on April 26, just 226 days later, the president crossed the 10,000
mark— an average of nearly 23 claims a day in this seven-month period, which
included the many rallies he held before the midterm elections, the partial
government shutdown over his promised border wall and the release of the special
counsel’s report on Russian interference in the presidential election.”
Washington Post, April 29th
I suspect that more than Democrats,
criminal investigations of his administration and the
enemy-of-the-people-mainstream-media-minus-Fox, facts are the Trump administration’s greatest enemies. Whether it
may concern the fabricated or Trump-policy-induced national security crisis at
the border, the rising ill-effects of releasing industrial polluters from responsibility
from the consequences of their actions, a trade policy that is seriously
hurting American producers and consumers, a tax cut that almost exclusively
benefited the rich while adding the largest federal deficit increase ever but
otherwise with no real benefit to most of us, or the justifications (wink wink)
for polarization, racism and hate crimes that are soaring since Trump was
elected, truth negates the efficacy of just about all things Trump. Looking at
those long lines of coal miners getting their old jobs back? Oh, more mines are
closing now than ever before.
As Kim Jong-un cozies up to Vladimir
Putin and Xi Jinping, openly defying Mike Pompeo and even Trump himself, as
Trump alienates allies more than enemies, America’s future turns bleaker by the
day. For Trump and that gullible part of his base (remember that 28% of
evangelicals voted for Hillary Clinton!), as rally after rally illustrates,
they only care about what he says, write off inconsistencies to “that’s just
his style” and follow his blame for his many failures to unhinged, radical
socialist Democrats. As if most of his followers could actually give you the
correct definition of socialism anyway (where government owns and controls the
means of production).
Trump’s shoot from the hip, keep an
eye on what his base wants to hear, opinion-without-factual-basis, leadership –
the same leadership in business that generated well over 3000 lawsuits – runs
roughshod over studied expertise, scientific facts, history as well as normal
moral boundaries. It’s not as if Donald Trump is sure his assumptions are true;
that’s irrelevant. It’s simply what his bases wishes were so, so he simply says
that it is! They smile, nod at each other… but facts continue to deploy
according to historical and natural laws. And not the way the base wants! Facts
are disturbingly neutral. Politics and public opinion have no sway with facts.
When NASA threatened to launch missions
to set earth-orbital platforms more capable of ascertaining the ravages of
climate change, Trump was enraged. A total waste of money in his mind. Everyone
knows what that research will produce; the scientific community has been
generating reams of supporting data for decades. Common observations here on
here have slowly produced a ring of truth in the warnings in all but the most
diehard skeptics. Floods, fires, coastal erosion, massive storm systems,
searing temperatures, droughts, radically and rapidly altering weather patterns
and consistent global temperature rise are now patently obvious to most of us.
Even the Republican Party, noticing
that the rising generations of voters are exceptionally attuned to climate
change issues, is beginning to understand that climate change denial is no
longer a politically viable path. So Congress, with GOP support, backed NASA. “A
NASA instrument designed to track carbon in Earth’s atmosphere is headed to the
International Space Station next week, and President Trump isn’t happy about it…
He slashed funding for the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 3 [OCO-3 – the NASA
rendering above] and four other Earth science missions in his proposed spending
plan for the 2018 fiscal year, citing ‘budget constraints’ and ‘higher
priorities within Science.’ His budget for fiscal year 2019 tried to defund
them again.
“In both cases, Congress decided to
keep the OCO-3 mission going anyway… OCO-3 was built at the Jet Propulsion
Laboratory in La CaƱada Flintridge for less than $100 million, using parts left
over from its predecessor, OCO-2… Once the carbon observatory gets to the ISS
[International Space Station], a robotic arm will mount it on the underside of
the space station so it can keep a close eye on the carbon dioxide in Earth’s
atmosphere… That will help scientists answer questions about how and why levels
of the greenhouse gas fluctuate over days, months and years…
“The main purpose of OCO-3 is to make
sure we have a continuous record of carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere,
but we are adding some new capabilities… One of those is to take a snapshot of
carbon levels over an area of 50 miles by 50 miles. This will feed a bunch of
science investigations of emission hot spots, like cities or volcanoes… We can
also look at how plant activity changes over the course of a day, which is
something OCO-2 could not do…
“OCO-3 is a spectrometer that looks
at Earth’s surface in three wavelengths: two for carbon dioxide, and one for
the type of light your eyes see. Every molecule has a unique way that it
absorbs light, almost like a fingerprint, and that’s what we exploit in our
instrument…If the CO 2 levels are 405 ppm, we will see a certain amount of
light change in the CO 2 band. If it is 406, we’ll see just a bit more… President
Trump tried to cancel this mission twice.” Los Angeles Times, April 27th.
And that mission is now “out to launch.”
The United States should be grateful
to California. Not only is OCO-3 the product of Southern California’s JPL, but
the state is leading the research to counter climate change. Even demon-Los
Angeles is figuring out how to deflect rising temperatures in an experiment
that might spread a small part of a solution to other cities. “The sludge
poured out of giant plastic buckets like gray pancake batter. Workers in neon
vests and spiky cleats squeegeed it across a parking lot in downtown Los Angeles,
smoothing it into a thin layer beneath a cloudless sky.
“This light-reflecting goop is part
of L.A.’s experiment to cool the city as it’s hit by climate change.
If global greenhouse gas emissions
keep rising at their current rate, temperatures in L.A. will increase nearly 4
degrees Fahrenheit by midcentury, scientists say. The metropolis is already
nearly 6 degrees hotter than surrounding rural areas thanks to its masses of
heat-absorbing buildings, paved surfaces and scant shade and vegetation.
“Mayor Eric Garcetti has pledged to
cut that difference nearly in half, reducing land surface temperatures 3
degrees by 2035. And he hopes that loads more of the viscous street-coating
mixture will help.
“Once the new coating dries, the
pavement outside an Arts District warehouse-turned-green-technology campus will
become a putty gray that reflects more of the sun’s rays than the dark asphalt
it covered up. The material — one of a handful of products the city and the Los
Angeles Cleantech Incubator are testing — absorbs less heat, and thermometer
readings show it can reduce surface temperatures by 10 degrees or more.” LA
Times.
Not only do we have to begin to mount an effective global
strategy against a climate trend that might even render vast tracts of the earth
uninhabitable, but we have to battle those who deny that there is a problem,
particularly leaders like Donald Trump. We shouldn’t have to fight to solve an
obvious problem… the biggest problem humanity has faced in millennia.
I’m Peter Dekom, and may we never have
another fact-averse president again… ever!
Saturday, April 27, 2019
Silicon Valley – They’re Tearing Us Apart
Politics has never meshed well in the
workplace, but in the past the clash has mostly been between owners/senior
managers, on the one hand, and the mass of blue-collar and clerical
white-collar workforce below, on the other. The old-world union vs. management
schism. In the above chart, presented in the February 28th
FastCompany.com by survey
company Morning Consult and commissioned by the conservative-leaning nonprofit
Lincoln Network, are the results of a recent political attitude poll taken in
California’s Silicon Valley.
“Among those
surveyed, 45% say that their company promotes a political agenda. That leaning
tends to be toward the left, with 48% of respondents saying their company has a
clear liberal agenda, as opposed to the 38% who reported a conservative
agenda.” FastCompany.com But what is a “conservative”? Is Donald Trump’s
populism, favoring tariffs and import restrictions and catering strongly to
displaced union workers, a conservative position? Is Trump’s withdrawal from
global conflicts, often a liberal calling card, the new “right wing”? Because
the traditionally-conservative Republican Party embraces this vector, along
with traditional conservative values of lower taxes and deregulation, does this
make everything Trump effectively the definition of a modern American
“conservative”?
As younger
generations, who never lived through the rage of capitalism vs socialism (or
its de facto autocratic extreme, communism), look at massive income inequality,
hideous post-secondary education costs, unaffordable housing where jobs exists,
displacement from automation (the equipment is owned by the rich) and a
volatile job market, does the fact that the “S” word – socialism – represents a
viable political choice for many of them alter the meaning of the word
“liberal”? Bernie Sanders’ sustained rhetoric, once considered
fringe-radicalism, correctly sounds as if it has been around for a while… an
acceptable political choice. He seems lost in a sea of too many “progressive”
Democratic presidential candidates towing his left-of-center polices, where the
difference between socialism (which
involves government ownership of the industrial and commercial institutions)
and favoring government-backed social
programs often gets lost in translation.
Today, the
political polarization is vastly more-evenly spread throughout the work force. And
that’s a huge problem that actually impacts the viability of the United States
as a cohesive and sustainable nation. Hoi polloi workers are now divided among
themselves, often finding their bosses and owners more liberal than they are.
Regionally, it is equally difficult to be a liberal at any level and live in
West Virginia or Wyoming. But even in urban concentrations in blue states,
political beliefs are hardly uniform. Where there is a diversity of political
beliefs “on the shop floor,” the workplace is increasingly becoming a place
where strongly-held political stands create very nasty friction among and
between workers… as well as their management. That friction may ripple up and
down the entire strata in the company.
The Silicon
Valley isn’t the only place where politics in the workplace are driving wedges
between workers, but it is exemplary. Sean Captain, writing for the above-referenced
article in FastCompany.com, notes: “Whether
they agree or disagree with their company’s politics, fear about ideological
conflicts with colleagues runs across all political groups: very liberal,
liberal, moderate, conservative, very conservative, and libertarian.
“Nearly half
of employees at companies with political agendas said their ideological views
impacted their ability to work. At companies perceived to have a political
agenda, 63% of workers said that ridicule in the workplace is commonplace if
you disagree with a colleague, while only 21% said that happens at their
apolitical companies…
“Lincoln leans conservative: Its leaders have been active
in Republican politics, and they launched the survey effort in 2017 ‘to
collect data on potential anti-conservative bias in Silicon Valley.’ Still, it
claims to have no influence on the data itself. ‘Morning Consult, as an
independent party, collected all of the quantitative data,’ says Lincoln
cofounder Garrett Johnson, who worked for Florida governor Jeb Bush and Senator
Richard Lugar of Indiana.
“Lincoln also
conducted an online survey of a few dozen tech workers to solicit opinions and
anecdotes, similar to its contentious survey from 2017-2018. Some of those
quotes pepper Lincoln’s report on the Morning Consult survey. ‘I am happy, with the exception of my time at work
where I feel like the choices I have made in my beliefs label me as stupid, a
bigot, deplored, and more . . .’ one anonymous tech worker wrote. ‘I am coming
to the conclusion that we cannot live or work together any longer.’
“In an op-ed for Fox News on
Thursday, Johnson echoed his previous complaints about bias against
conservatives in tech, saying the new data ‘confirm a stunning level of
viewpoint intolerance in the tech community,’ and ‘reveal an epidemic of
polarization and intolerance in Silicon Valley and the broader tech community
[that] presents an important opportunity for tech leadership to cultivate a
culture of viewpoint inclusion.’
“But I’ve
also interviewed a handful or workers from major tech companies–on and off the
record–over the past year, who have provided some insight on the results that
are more nuanced than Johnson’s focus on bias. And when I spoke with a few
survey respondents who agreed to an interview, I found their stories of
discrimination less severe than appeared in the short comments gathered by
Lincoln Network. Still, they do see their workplaces as much more friendly to
colleagues who are openly left than even a bit conservative. (Workers spoke on
condition of anonymity due to concern about backlash from colleagues.).”
We are
fracturing at so many levels within our nation – regional, urban vs rural,
populist nationalism vs diversity, rich vs poor, white vs other, evangelical vs
other faiths/no faith, etc. There are efforts, noted above, to embrace
ideological tolerance, and indeed as the population adds higher levels of
education to the average experience (e.g., 59% of millennials have at least
some college education), that tolerance grows. But as the tech field leads us
into the uncharted world of artificial intelligence, as unchecked population
growth meets the decimation of global climate change, we are going to need
every bit of ingenuity, every ounce of unified commitment, to advance humanity
in future years.
I’m Peter Dekom, and with the levels of American polarization still
growing, will we recover that cohesive level of American acceptance of
divergent viewpoints in time to salvage our political future?
Thursday, April 25, 2019
Dis-Putin Who Controls the Arctic
Back on April 29, 2017, in my $35
Trillion Antics in the Arctic blog, I noted how Russia has officially
claimed most undersea land mass beneath the Arctic ice, even planting a
titanium Russian flag under the North Pole on the sea floor, building a fleet
of nuclear super-icebreakers beyond the capacity of any other nation, and
greedily eyeing what is estimated to be $35 trillion worth of unexploited
natural resources as well as a climate-change-melting shipping lane known to us
as the Northwest Passage. Russian sea and air military installations increased
all across adjacent Russia land. Neither the United Nations nor any other
nation bordering the Arctic has accepted the Russian claim… but no other nation
really has done anything about it. Certainly not Putin-ophile, Donald Trump.
Russia’s Arctic efforts have since
continued unabated. Russian geographers attempted to justify the land grab by
tracing ridges deep under the ocean that emanated they claimed from Mother
Russia. To Moscow, the Arctic was theirs just as much as was their seizure of
Crimea from Ukraine. Pretending to advance regional dialogue over access to and
use of the region, Putin addressed leaders from Finland, Iceland, Norway and
Sweden at an Arctic forum in St. Petersburg on April 9th. Meanwhile,
Putin is simply saturating the Arctic with powerful Russian assets, military
capability and an existing fleet of four heavy nuclear icebreakers (Russia is
the only nation with such vessels) with plans to build 5 more such nuclear
vessels (3 of those are being built now) and 8 more conventional heavy
icebreakers.
In time, Russian assets, interests
and activities will simply overwhelm the region. No other nation, no other
combination of nations, has or is developing anything comparable to what Russia
has and will have. Russia will control (dominate or actually annex) shipping
lanes and mineral/oil exploration sites, probably to the exclusion of all but a
token presence from other countries. Russian military bases in the region send
an ominous signal to the world.
At the above-noted forum, Putin’s
address gave lip service to international law while his highest cabinet officer
hinted at reality: “Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that military
deployments in the Arctic are intended to protect national interests… ‘We
ensure the necessary defense capability in view of the military-political
situation near our borders,’ Lavrov said, noting that a recent NATO exercise in
Norway was openly directed against Russia…
“The Russian military has revamped
and modernized a string of Soviet-era military bases across the Arctic, looking
to protect its hold on the region, which is believed to hold up to a quarter of
the Earth’s undiscovered oil and gas.” Los Angeles Times, April 10th.
Russia is already transshipping 20
metric tons (2018) of cargo through that Northwest Passage in the months where
ice flow is minimal; by 2025, Putin brags, that number will increase to 80
million metric tons a year: “This is a realistic, well-calculated and concrete
task… We need to make the northern sea route safe and commercially feasible.”
Putin added that “his country plans to expand the ports on both sides of the
Arctic shipping route — Murmansk on the Kola Peninsula and
Petropav-lovsk-Kamchatsky on the Kamchatka Peninsula — and invited foreign
companies to invest in the reconstruction project… Other ports and
infrastructure facilities along the route will also be upgraded and expanded,
he said.
“Russia, the U.S., Canada, Denmark
and Norway have all been trying to assert jurisdiction over parts of the Arctic
as shrinking polar ice creates new opportunities for resource exploration and
new shipping lanes.
“Speaking at the forum, Norwegian
Prime Minister Erna Solberg emphasized the need to respect international law
and noted that the Arctic Council provides a key arena for dialogue… ‘Now and
then I hear the Arctic described as a geopolitical hot spot,’ she said. ‘This
is not how we see it. We know the Arctic as a region of peace and stability.’… Solberg
and other leaders who spoke at the forum underscored the need for all countries
in the Arctic region to focus on areas of mutual interest despite differences.”
Los Angeles Times. Like dialogue stopped Russia from annexing Crimea, Ukrainian
territory, in clear defiance of an actual treaty that Russia signed
guaranteeing that Crimea would remain Ukrainian? The world is threatening
Russia’s steel and concrete Arctic ambitions with sweet words and a peashooter.
We have a president with the weakest
foreign policy experience and knowledge of any president since World War I. His
blind adherence to all things “Netanyahu,” an effort to curry favor with his
evangelical base and rich donors from the US Jewish community combined with his
attacks on allies while embracing traditional enemies, have made Donald Trump’s
international efforts the diplomatic equivalent of the Keystone Cops. As
climate-change denial remains Trump’s official policy, Russia has embraced that
same climate change to bate a weakened United States and establish a presence
right on our international border (Alaska) that truly reflects Donald Trump’s
obeisance to a corrupt foreign power with some very nice locations for future
Trump hotels and residential towers.
I’m Peter Dekom, and I find it strange that
his story is so completely downplayed in our media and that a
once-strong-against Russia Republican Party seems fine with it all.
Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Dollars and No Sense
Trump's U Penn (Wharton) Graduation Picture
The tracks of “friends of Donald Trump”
convincing various schools he attended to destroy or keep secret his grades are
everywhere. His father had money, a key to admission to many colleges in the
1960s, but wherever he attended a school or college, Donald Trump was always a
terrible student. Bullying and street smarts came easily to him, lessons from
his father, but anything that required critical thinking or deep research and
understanding… not so much. His academic track record suggests that Trump was
anything but a gifted student at the top of his class as he claims and as Fox
News repeats without the slightest supporting fact.
“In 2011, days after Donald Trump challenged
President Barack Obama to ‘show his records’ to prove that he hadn’t been a ‘terrible
student,’ the headmaster at New York Military Academy got an order from his
boss: Find Trump’s academic records and help bury them.
“The superintendent of the private school ‘came
to me in a panic because he had been accosted by prominent, wealthy alumni of
the school who were Mr. Trump’s friends’ and who wanted to keep his records
secret, recalled Evan Jones, the headmaster at the time. ‘He said, ‘You need to
go grab that record and deliver it to me because I need to deliver it to
them.’ ’
“The superintendent, Jeffrey Coverdale,
confirmed Monday that members of the school’s board of trustees initially
wanted him to hand over President Trump’s records to them, but Coverdale said
he refused.
“The former NYMA officials’ recollections add
new details to one of the allegations that Michael Cohen, the president’s
longtime personal lawyer and fixer, made before Congress last week. Cohen, who
told the House Oversight and Reform Committee that part of his job was to
attack Trump’s critics and defend his reputation, said that Trump ordered
him ‘to threaten his high school,
his colleges and the College Board to never release his grades or SAT scores.’
“Trump has frequently boasted that he was a
stellar student, but he declined throughout the 2016 campaign to release any of
his academic records, telling The Washington Post then, ‘I’m not
letting you look at anything.’” Washington Post, March 5th.
“Fordham
University is confirming it received a letter from Donald Trump’s then-lawyer
threatening legal action if Trump’s academic records became public… Fordham says the letter from
Trump’s lawyer was preceded by a phone call from a campaign staffer. Fordham
says it’s bound by federal law barring the release of student records [anyway]…
Trump attended the Roman Catholic university in New York City for two years. He
graduated from the University of Pennsylvania… Penn and the College Board
declined to comment.” MarketWatch.com, March 1st.
In Donald’s mind, abstract
concepts seem to fly far above his mental powers. But where he can anchor those
issues in dollars and cents, he creates an “understanding” solely based on hard
dollar metrics – even if incorrectly applied – and creates what inevitably turn
out to be fallacious descriptions, taking credit as success for the disasters
that have become the footprints of his administration. North Korea, which has
played Trump like a yoyo and still has every single nuclear weapon and ballistic
missile they have had since the outset of the “peace talks,” has “wonderful
beaches” and potential to build magnificent, dollar-generating resorts, notes
Trump. No Donald, Kim Jong-un isn’t going to relinquish weapons he deems
essential for his regime to stay in power in order to trade up to a Trump golf
course and resort strategy.
Give rich people huge tax cuts
and they will invest that capital to create more jobs, said the Donald. Trickle
down economics. Trump gave them the tax cuts, and the rich repaid him by using
that windfall to buy back their own shares… soon running out of capital to make
any of those promised investments. Tariffs are a huge win for Americans,
screams Donald Trump, when every economist on earth knows that a tariff is a
consumer tax. And Mexico is not paying for that wall, one way or the other.
But Trump is so good with money.
He’s a billionaire many times over. We should trust his instincts. Really? Then
let’s see his tax returns to verify his wealth claims and make sure what he
told the government is true. Why have Trump companies gone bankrupt so many
times? Why have there been over 3500 lawsuits over money in Trumpland? Why did
Goldman Sachs say that if Trump had simply invested his inherited wealth in the
stock market, he would be vastly wealthier than even he claims to be now?
Donald cannot separate policies
that are good for America, insure global power and influence plus the ability
to protect American interests worldwide from a dollar-based profit-loss
analysis. His latest rant, which will struggle in the Democratically-controlled
House, is to insist that our allies pay hard cash for our defensive troops
stationed in their countries. Puppet-master Vladimir Putin, Trump-manipulator
Kim Jong-un and PRC strongman Xi Jinping must be cheering. If genuinely
pressed, how many of those “allied” countries would simply invite U.S. forces
to leave? We just might squander our last few shekels of credibility and
influence in this latest Trump suggestion. Do you hear the cackling in the
background? Even Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro must be chortling.
We are even more the laughing
stock of the world than we have ever been, a track record few politicians would
point to with pride. Donald does. Remember this speech The Donald made before
the United Nations General Assembly on September 25th? “In less than two
years my administration has accomplished more than any almost administration in
the history of our country… So true.” The gathering of seasoned diplomats and
world leaders immediately erupted into laughter.
Make those no-good allies pay
for U.S. soldiers on overseas bases? This inane policy doesn’t even sit well
with Trump’s GOP supporters. “Rep. Liz
Cheney (R-Wyo.), the third-ranking House Republican, on Sunday [3/10]
criticized President Donald Trump’s reported plan to force U.S. allies to pay
billions of dollars more for hosting American troops on their soil… Under a new
formula devised by the president, allies such as Japan and South Korea would
potentially pay Washington the full cost of stationing U.S. troops in their
territory, plus an additional 50 percent.
“The formula, which Trump has dubbed ‘cost
plus 50,’ could cause affected countries to contribute five times what they
currently do, according
to The Washington Post.
“Cheney told NBC’s ‘Meet the Press’ that the
impact of this plan would be ‘absolutely devastating’ to U.S. diplomacy… ‘We
benefit tremendously ... [from] our bases and our cooperation with our allies,”
she told host Chuck Todd. “The notion that we are somehow now going to charge
them cost plus 50 is really, it’s wrongheaded and it would be devastating to
the security of our nation and to our allies.’” Huffington Post, March 10th.
Hey, Donnie, if money is the metric of international diplomacy, I’ve got an
idea. Why not let Vladimir Putin pay billions, even trillions, to locate
Russian military facilities inside the continental United States?
The harsh aversion that Trump and his base
share over qualified expertise, preferring shoot-from-the-hip decisions and
catchy slogans to facts, have brought the United States to one of its weakest
and least globally influential periods in its post-World War I history. We are
horribly polarized and seemingly ungovernable. The damage from the Trump legacy
may not even be reparable; who is ever going to trust the United States and its
treaty commitments ever again?
I’m Peter Dekom, and if this bothers you as
much as it bothers me, then make your vote count!
Tuesday, April 23, 2019
Meritocracy
Many equate “democracy” with
“meritocracy.” But history teaches us that the longer a social system remains
intact, as individuals garner “success” – power and wealth – those who climb to
the top of that socio-political ladder almost uniformly use that accumulation
of success to hold their position and make sure their children inherit their
status as well. Economic aspects of social structures divide values in terms of
labor, capital and land. Landowners were the mega-wealthy when our nation was
founded, but over time and with technological improvement, capital supplanted
land use as the big American value-creator.
The use of “corporations” accelerated
the ability to turn capital ownership, sometimes combined with land ownership,
into fungible and tradable currency. Likewise, that ability to accumulate value
within a larger corporate structure also enhanced the further capacity to
borrow and raise additional funds not available to most of us.
So, when you examine how power and
wealth are used, particularly in the American system of governance, those who
own capital and productive real estate – including those who service those
sectors by sharing in the values generated (e.g., bankers, lawyers, financial
advisors, etc.) – have the ability to buy more land and capital equipment,
while the vast bulk of the population provide labor. But technology is imbuing
the capital sector – though artificial intelligence and implementing automation
– with an ability to eliminate labor and absorb the values that labor once
created into their ownership and control of capital equipment.
The net impact of this macro-trend,
combined with global outsourcing (less of an issue today because of
automation), is a job displacement that serially eliminates so many tasks, from
routine and repetitive manufacturing to mathematically-determined analytics and
consumer interaction. Looking at this another way, it is a ground-up
contraction of the middle class, starting with blue-collar labor and working
its way up the skilled labor market. Labor values are replaced by automated
equipment values, and income shifts away from wages and salaries to those who
own the capital equipment. We call this “income inequality” or “polarization,”
but technology is making things worse very fast, and the capital markets are
rewarding capital and punishing labor.
China’s Mao Zedong watched as cadres
with power used that success to further distance themselves from the masses. He
watched senior members of the Communist Party use political stature the same
way rich global capitalists used money. Though his methods were unthinking,
distorted and particularly cruel, Mao loved shaking up China’s power structure
– The Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution, for example – to take
that sense of the entitled communist elite down, to level society by elevating
those at the bottom to the top. Having untrained incompetent ideologs run a
nation is clearly a recipe for disaster, and by the time Deng Xiaoping took
over the People’s Republic, his first efforts were directed at restoring
competent leadership and a functional bureaucracy. Deng was the father of the
success you see in modern China, a system that lifted over a billion people out
of desperate poverty in about 30 years.
Yet there is something alluring about
thinking that a social structure, an ideal government, should be fair. People
should be equal. Particularly to Americans, most of whom once thought of their
country as a land of opportunity. But as the blue-collar segment of Donald
Trump’s base will tell you, the notion of upward mobility in America has
degenerated to historical myth, such that most Americans believe that future
generations will not live up to the same economic quality of life as past
generations. Those blue-collar members of his base have long-since been
displaced, clearly out of the middle class, but many kicked out of their
traditional livelihoods. Under the current socio-economic structure, despite
Trump’s promises to the contrary, the middle class will continue to contract.
But as we all know, America has moved
increasingly away from being a true democracy. Our system of government is
skewed to rural voters. E.g., California and Wyoming each have two US Senators.
Income inequality has never been this polarized in the entire history of the
United States. Just watching rich folks bribe their kids into college tells you
how bad the “entitled” in this country believe they can act without
consequences. You can read my March 13th blog, The
Real Entitlements: Privilege, for more of the grimy details.
But Americans still rail at unfairness and
mistakenly believe that people can earn their way to success. Clifton Mark,
writing for the March 13th FastCompany.com, explains: “Meritocracy has become a leading
social ideal. Politicians across the ideological spectrum
continually return to the theme that the rewards of life–money, power, jobs,
university admission–should be distributed according to skill and effort. The
most common metaphor is the ‘even playing field’ upon which players can rise to
the position that fits their merit. Conceptually and morally, meritocracy is
presented as the opposite of systems such as hereditary aristocracy, in which
one’s social position is determined by the lottery of birth. Under meritocracy,
wealth and advantage are merit’s rightful compensation, not the fortuitous
windfall of external events.
“Most people
don’t just think the world should be run meritocratically, they think
it is meritocratic.
In the U.K., 84% of respondents to the 2009 British Social Attitudes survey
stated that hard work is either ‘essential’ or ‘very important’ when it comes
to getting ahead, and in 2016 the Brookings Institute found that 69% of
Americans believe that people are rewarded for intelligence and skill.
Respondents in both countries believe that external factors, such as luck and
coming from a wealthy family, are much less important. While these ideas are most
pronounced in these two countries, they are popular across the globe.
“Although
widely held, the belief that merit rather than luck determines success or
failure in the world is demonstrably false. This is not least because merit
itself is, in large part, the result of luck. Talent and the capacity for
determined effort, sometimes called ‘grit,’ depend a great
deal on one’s genetic endowments and upbringing…This is to say nothing of the
fortuitous circumstances that figure into every success story.” The American
playing field has never been more tilted toward the “haves.” There is a
seething anger in America, growing by the day. We now feel that the notion of a
meritocracy is dying if not dead in the country.
I’m Peter Dekom, and Americans are mad as hell but are they ready to
make the seismic shifts necessary to restore fairness to the system.
Monday, April 22, 2019
GOP 101: How to Kill the Affordable Care Act
The Republican Party will become
9:58 AM - 26 Mar 2019
With not a single page of a comprehensive alternative
healthcare plan presented to anybody, feeling his oats after stating that the
Mueller Report totally vindicated him, Donald Trump made the brash tweet noted
above. Trump then directed his Attorney General to side with 20 red state
attorneys general who secured a federal district court ruling that the entirety
of the Affordable Care Act (ACA aka Obamacare) is unconstitutional (see below).
Let’s look at the history of Republican opposition to this healthcare
legislation.
Republicans in Congress have voted well over
50 times to repeal the ACA since it was passed in 2010. While the Supreme Court
gutted the requirement that individuals have healthcare insurance (subsidized
for those who needed help) or pay a fine, there have been no successful
congressional or judicial efforts to terminate the entire statute. However, on
December 20, 2017, the individual
mandate to have health insurance was repealed by a GOP Congress starting in
January 2019 under provisions of the gigantic tax reform legislation, the
"Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017.”
Still, those 20 Republican attorneys
general had filed suit – Texas vs. United
States – in a Fort Worth Federal District Court – known to be
“GOP-friendly” – to hold that the rest of the ACA, not limited in an earlier
Supreme Court decision, is unconstitutional and now unfunded without that
individual mandate. Simply Congress de facto defunded the ACA by that tax act,
so continuing an unfunded law (effectively a repeal, they said) was
unconstitutional. To everyone’s surprise, Federal District Court Judge Reed
O’Connor agreed in a ruling on December 14, 2018. Was the ACA dead?
Even with GOP control of both houses
of Congress, the last serious direct attempt by Republicans in Congress to
repeal the ACA went down in flames when the late John McCain cast a deciding
vote: “Sen. John McCain stunned much of the US and
his party leaders on [July 27, 2018], when shortly before 2 a.m. ET
he voted against a ‘skinny’ plan to repeal parts
of the Affordable
Care Act.
“McCain joined two
other Republican senators, Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska,
who voted against the bill and quashed
Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's plan to upend the US healthcare system after
20 hours of debate.” BusinessInsider.com, 7/28/18. Ever since, President Trump,
who promised affordable quality healthcare for all – directly or through his
minions at the Department of Health and Human Services – has slowly dismembered
the statute at every turn, frequently reversed by pro-ACA judicial rulings. But
did the tax bill effectively kill the ACA by defunding it? Trump had tried
different approaches over his short time in office.
His efforts at
sabotaging the rest of the ACA, his own braggadocio that he will watch that
healthcare program collapse and help that happen, have been legendary. But
Trump’s latest effort tops all of the Trump administration efforts to
circumvent the ACA’s mandates against denying coverage or imposing higher costs
or caps for pre-existing conditions by approving (exempting) “skinny” plans
that simply limit coverage to stated diseases and ailments, by implication
eliminating everything else by not mentioning them.
Even judges appointed
by Republican presidents tend to see through that Trump ruse – his pretending
to present cheaper alternatives to ACA plans but effectively eviscerating
statutory protections. Like this most recent example: “U.S. District Judge John D. Bates on
Thursday [3/29] blocked new rules governing so-called association health plans,
which let businesses and individuals band together to create group plans that
offer less expensive coverage than the Affordable Care Act — but without some
of its protections.
“The ruling is a victory for nearly a
dozen Democratic state attorneys general who sued to block the policy last
year. The judge’s findings come as the Trump administration is renewing its
effort to unwind Obamacare by declining to defend it in court… ‘The final rule
is clearly an end-run around the ACA,’ Bates, a 2001 appointee of Republican
President George W. Bush, said in the ruling… ‘Indeed, as the president
directed, and the secretary of Labor confirmed, the final rule was designed to
expand access to AHPs in order to avoid the most stringent requirements of the
ACA.’” Los Angeles Times, March 30th.
With the House under
Democratic control, the President also knows that another “repeal” or “repeal
and replace” bill to undo the ACA can never pass Congress. And even though the
GOP probably lost control of the House over its increasingly unpopular stand
against the ACA, Trump believes that if the U.S. Supreme Court – now with a
conservative majority – hears the appeal in Texas
vs. The United States, it just well might rule in support of the Judge
O’Connor’s ruling. The ACA would die. If he couldn’t kill the ACA directly by
Congressional vote, Trump now had a path through a judiciary that his
appointments have moved severely to the right.
If the ACA could be gone,
reasons Trump, Democrats must be aware that healthcare will thereafter be
defined by what can pass a Republican Senate and a be signed by a Republican
president. Medicaid expansion will collapse, exemptions for less than full
coverage will be allowed (hence blasting those with pre-existing conditions),
anything related to women’s reproductive rights will vaporize and expect
reduced if any coverage for addiction and mental health issues. And that’s
assuming that the GOP can do what it has dramatically failed to do in a decade:
offer up a genuine national healthcare plan at any level. Republicans have
never been remotely able to come together on a viable plan; those on the
extreme right (the Freedom Caucus, for example) do not want any ubiquitous
government plan at all, so they have stopped a GOP proposal every time.
The March 26th Journal from the
American Bar Association explains Trump’s plan to support Judge O’Connor’s
ruling to take down the ACA completely: “The U.S.
Department of Justice told a federal appeals court [5th Circuit]
Monday evening [3/26] that it agrees with a federal judge who struck down the
entire Affordable
Care Act as unconstitutional.
“The DOJ stance is a ‘major shift’
from its position when Jeff Sessions was attorney general, CNN reports. Lawyers under
Sessions had argued that only parts of the Obama-era health care law were
unconstitutional after Congress effectively repealed its tax penalty in 2017
for people without insurance. Other publications with articles include
the National Law Journal, the Washington Post and Politico.
“The U.S. Supreme Court had upheld the law’s individual mandate
in 2012 under Congress’ taxing power… After Congress reduced the tax penalty to
zero, Sessions had refused to defend the law’s requirement
for individuals to buy health insurance, known as the individual mandate. He
had also refused to defend provisions that ban insurers from denying coverage
or charging more to people with pre-existing conditions.
“But in a letter filed with the 5th U.S.
Circuit Court of Appeals at New Orleans, DOJ lawyers said the appeals court
should affirm a decision striking down the entire law by U.S. District Judge
Reed O’Connor of Fort Worth, Texas. O’Connor had ruled in December that the
elimination of a tax penalty made the entire law invalid. He did not enjoin the
law, however, while his decision was appealed.
“According to CNN, the new stance
‘doubles down on stripping away all the protections that were a hallmark of the
landmark heath reform law.’… The DOJ’s new stance would strike down additional
provisions that allow children to have coverage on their parents’ policies
until age 26 and that guarantee ‘essential health benefits’ such as mental
health, maternity and drug
coverage. The stance also would eliminate an expansion of Medicaid and free
preventive services for people on Medicare.”
It is interesting to note how the passion with
which Republican zeal governs their anti-ACA actions, knee-jerk dramatic
actions not remotely well-considered, produces some unusual results. Under a
most interesting example of the law of unintended consequences, the Justice
Department was prosecuting a billion-dollar medical fraud case against one Philip Esformes, who ran a chain of
skilled-nursing and assisted-living venues in Miami-Dade area of Florida.
“Prosecutors claim in
Esformes’ indictment that the health
care executive paid
kickbacks to health providers ‘in exchange for medically unnecessary referrals’
to Esformes’ facilities. Esformes and co-conspirators then allegedly submitted
‘false and fraudulent claims to Medicare and Medicaid in an approximate
amount of $1 billion for services that were medically unnecessary, never
provided, and procured through the payment of kickbacks and bribes.’ All
of Esformes’ co-conspirators plead guilty, according to the Miami Herald.
“On Wednesday [3/27], Esformes’
lawyers filed a motion in a federal court in
Florida arguing that the case against their client must be dismissed —
effectively ruining three years of work by prosecutors — because ‘the Justice
Department has admitted that the health care offenses at issue in this trial
are unconstitutional.’ Alternatively, Esformes’ legal team suggests that the
judge should declare a mistrial.
“The problem arises because
O’Connor did not simply strike down the core provisions of the Affordable
Care Act. He
declared that every single provision of the law is invalid, including
relatively minor provisions amending the statutes governing Medicare fraud and
kickbacks paid to health providers. Though Esformes alleged actions may also be
illegal under the unamended versions of those statutes, Esformes was charged
under the amended versions.” ThinkProgress.org, March 28th. Hmmm… to
win that motion, the DoJ prosecutors would have to disavow their own boss’
claims filed with the 5th Circuit noted above.
The irony of all this is further embodied in Republican President Richard M.
Nixon’s message to Congress on February 4, 1974, which reads in part: “In the
last quarter century, we have made remarkable progress toward that goal
[greater equality for all Americans], opening the doors to millions of our
fellow countrymen who were seeking equal opportunities in education, jobs and
voting… Now it is time that we move forward again in still another critical
area: health care.
“Without adequate health care, no one can make
full use of his or her talents and opportunities. It is thus just as important
that economic, racial and social barriers not stand in the way of good health
care as it is to eliminate those barriers to a good education and a good job.
“Three years ago, I proposed a major health
insurance program to the Congress, seeking to guarantee adequate financing of
health care on a nationwide basis. That proposal generated widespread
discussion and useful debate. But no legislation reached my desk.” Obviously,
no legislation made it to any president’s desk until Barrack Obama signed the
ACA into law on March 23, 2010. And now, a
Republican president is seeking to dismantle a law that somehow is working,
albeit in need of adjustment that everyone agrees is necessary, by substituting
a Swiss cheese bill that will leave Americans with much worse,
mega-more-expensive healthcare system than they have now, already a system that
is still the worst in the entire developed world.
I’m Peter Dekom, and if there is a ray of hope to a seriously
factionalized Democratic Party, seemingly unable to consolidate behind a
unitary platform, it is that Donald Trump has made healthcare the most serious
issue for the 2020 elections.
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