In
past blogs, I have noted how upward mobility has all but vaporized from the
American dream and how increasing percentages on income and wealth are focused
on an ever-contracting sliver of billionaires at the top of our food chain. We
are now far and away the most economically polarized developed nation on earth
as federal policies continue to push an even greater share of income and wealth
to the top and most definitely away from the middle and bottom part of our
economic ladder. The top one tenth of one percent of our population controls
more wealth than the bottom 90% combined!
Even
as the Trump administration pretends to have reduced taxes for the middle class
– unless you happen to live in a high state income tax blue state where taxes
went up – between the contraction of federal support and control of healthcare
and a trade war that is causing prices from durables to farm goods to
skyrocket, the net economic position for most of us remains “the same or worse”
than it was before these touted Trumpian reforms. Well over 90% of the economic benefits of the
Trump tax cuts and virtually all of the major reductions in consumer/ financial/environmental
regulations have gone solely to the top earners in the land, creating very few
well-paying jobs along the way.
OK,
joblessness is down but so is the number of jobs that provide even entry-level
middle class pay. They certainly haven’t shown up in that vast blue-collar
Trump constituency. And while average pay is wiggling upward, it seems that
this phenomenon is due primarily to massive pay increases at the top… not so
much for the middle and below. I did say “average,” so if we have nine people
making $10,000 a year, and one person making $1 million a year, the “average”
among that ten-person group is $109,000/year per person. Get it? The average
looks great even if most folks don’t get anywhere near that number.
OK,
so let me address this earnings picture from an entirely different perspective
to make the same point. All of these governmental incentives – from deregulation
to tax cuts – have created clear economic growth in basic gross domestic
product numbers.
Over
the years, there has been a federal governmental record of the ratio of
wages/salaries as a percentage of the overall economy. So as profits soar and
the economy hits high notes, workers participate in that upside in a very
measurable way. But since the Great Recession, the percentage of our economy
accorded to workers has continued to drop, particularly after the “recovery”
and even more after Trump’s reforms. Those invested in capital are increasingly
making more money than workers, living in a world of accelerating prices, who
are making less. The Federal Reserve is concerned.
“The
fall in the percentage of economic growth flowing to workers is ‘very
troubling,’ a worrisome sign in an otherwise bright American economy, Federal
Reserve chief Jerome Powell told a Senate panel Tuesday [7/17]… Testifying
before the Senate Banking Committee, Powell expressed concern that the share of
profits going to American labor had fallen ‘precipitously’ for more than a
decade and was not reversing course.
“In
2000, wages and salaries for American workers accounted for about 66% of the
overall economy. That rate has fallen to about 62%, although the decline has
leveled off since the end of the Great Recession, according to statistics
compiled by the Brookings Institution and cited at Tuesday’s hearing by Sen.
Jack Reed (D-R.I.).
“‘We
want an economy that works for everyone,’ said Powell, who was appointed by
President Trump last fall to oversee the nation’s central bank. ‘In the last
five years or so, labor share of profits has been sideways. This is very much
akin to the flattening out of median incomes over the last few decades.’
“The
strength of the overall economy has been widely expected to eventually
translate into higher wages for workers, but pay increases so far have been
disappointing. Job growth, at more than 215,000 jobs every month, remains
healthy, with the overall unemployment rate continuing to tick down, and the
U.S. economy is growing at a healthy clip, powered in part by strong consumer
spending and business investment, Powell said… But average hourly wages for
most American workers have stalled — and, by at least one measure, fallen when
accounting for inflation.” Los Angeles Times, July 18th.
When
such a narrow rich segment at the top of society is so vested in their wealth
and obviously in control of the political systems that enable them to generate
and keep their wealth, we have a technical name for that system: plutocracy.
70% of working Americans today are literally at the same effective,
inflation-correct level (or worse) of discretionary spending ability. It’s
pretty clear that the Trump/GOP cabal is the tip of that plutocratic spear.
Want a bit more detail on how they play with statistics to make “stagnant” and
“bad” appear “positive,” see my July 6th 3.8% Unemployment – Why Not Me? blog.
What
is especially galling is this “loss or stagnation” of lifestyle, the decline a
good-paying blue-collar and light white collar jobs, is exactly what gave rise
to the populism that got Donald Trump – champion of the mega-rich – elected in
the first place. As a master spinner, social media maven and marketing whiz,
Donald Trump has managed to put lipstick on a pig and sell porcine beauty to
his base! And they buy into this myth every day, blaming foreigners, liberals
and immigrants when Donald simply does not deliver (and he lies and tells them
he is delivering).
I’m Peter Dekom, and as we ignore
upgrading education and infrastructure while cutting research, as we shovel
money out of the middle class into the pockets of richest in the land, we are
beginning to unravel those essential bonds that hold the United States of
America together.
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