One year ago, President Donald Trump
withdrew the United States from the United Nations-sponsored six-country Iran
nuclear containment accord claiming, despite his own military’s assurances to
the contrary, that the treaty was a “disastrous one-sided deal” that failed to
end Iran’s “malign activity.” Almost immediately thereafter, the United States
amped up its economic pressures on Iran, restoring and then increasing economic
sanctions aimed at disabling Iran’s financial sector and its relations with the
rest of the world and punishing companies and nations who continued to trade
with Iran.
Even as the remaining signatory
nations vowed to hold to the terms of the treaty, pragmatism forced compliance
with most American demands. The U.S., securing pledges from anti-Shiite/Iran
Sunni oil-producing countries (like Saudi Arabia) to keep oil supplies
abundant, pressed harder to stop anyone from buying Iranian oil. Expect more
sanctions.
Seemingly taking his foreign policy
directives from Israeli Prime Minister’s vitriolic anti-Iranian speeches –
acknowledging that Iran is an existential threat to Israel – Trump took one
giant unnecessary “symbolic” step. In April, “Trump… flouted warnings from Pentagon officials in
naming Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, who controls the elite military force, called the designation a ‘vicious move’ and a ‘mistake.’”
Politico.com, May 5th. We gained absolutely nothing by adding that label. Almost
immediately, Iran responded labeling all U.S. military forces in the Middle
East as “terrorists” as well. Those U.S. forces are now open game to a whole
assembly of additional bad actors.
With little more than a unilateral
escalation of economic slaps and verbal escalation, the United States took
another big swat at the wasps’ nest: “The U.S.
military is deploying the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group [pictured
above] and a bomber task force to the Central Command region in the Middle East
to send a "clear and unmistakable message" to Iran, national security
adviser John Bolton said in a statement Sunday [5/5].
“The action, confirmed by
the Defense Department, comes ‘in response to a number of troubling and escalatory
indications and warnings,’ Bolton said, and is intended to convey ‘to the
Iranian regime that any attack on United States interests or on those of our
allies will be met with unrelenting force.’
“Bolton added: ‘The
United States is not seeking war with the Iranian regime, but we are fully
prepared to respond to any attack, whether by proxy, the Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps, or regular Iranian forces.’” Politico.com. Iran has deployed its
forces and surrogates in regional conflict, through its regular forces in
support of Syria, Hezbollah in various nations in the region, the Houthis in
Yemen, and the United States, for itself and on behalf of Israel, has
justifiably argued to contain this regional menace, one we have made so much
stronger by toppling a Sunni despot in Iraq to convert that nation into a
Shiite-sympathizer with Iran.
The confrontation between
the United States seems to be escalating, perhaps risking a shooting war,
rather unnecessarily. Why now? Why use words that provoke? Why resort to a
policy of escalating hostilities, refusing to engage in diplomacy, that did not
produce a single positive step between the countries between 1979 until the May
2015 six-party accord?
“Iran’s president said for the first
time Wednesday [5/8] that his government will stop complying with parts of the
landmark 2015 nuclear deal after the White House sent a Navy carrier task force
to the region and tightened a chokehold on the country’s oil exports.
“Several hours after the Iranian
announcement, the White House said that it was imposing additional economic
sanctions to target Iran’s iron, steel, aluminum and copper industries,
increasing pressure on the already battered economy.
“The dueling moves and rising tension
came one year after President Trump withdrew from the landmark nuclear
disarmament pact negotiated by the Obama administration… ‘We call on the regime
to abandon its nuclear ambitions, change its destructive behavior, respect the
rights of its people and return in good faith to the negotiating table,’ Trump
said Wednesday [5/8] in a White House statement.
“Earlier, Iranian President Hassan
Rouhani said on national TV that Iran would stockpile surplus enriched uranium,
rather than send it abroad, and would consider restarting production of
bomb-grade uranium, a far more serious threat.
“Although Rouhani said Iran’s moves
did not violate the 2015 accord , his announcement increased pressure on other
signatories — Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China — to do more to save
the agreement or watch it collapse…
“Daryl Kimball, executive director of
the Arms Control Assn., a research group in Washington that favored the deal,
said Tehran’s response was worrisome but predictable… ‘The logical consequence
of Trump’s approach to punishing Iran despite its compliance ... is that
Iranians do not see the value of that compliance,’ Kimball said in an
interview.” Los Angeles Times, May 9th.
Bolton always sounds smart, but his
policies and positions are almost always extreme and untenable, usually
provoking the opposite result from what is intended. Venezuela’s Maduro didn’t
exactly fall from power as predicted. Fail. North
Korea just fired two new test missiles and cancelled the joint US/North Korean
effort to locate U.S. bodies from the Korean War. It get worse: “The U.S. said Thursday [5/9] that it has
seized a North Korean cargo ship that was used to violate international
sanctions, a first-of-its kind enforcement action that comes amid a tense
moment in relations between the two countries.” Associated Press, May 9th. Fail. And his boss, Donald Trump,
has become the international clown prince of diplomacy. You can bet that Bolton
gets the gate soon. When does repeating the same
behavior, consistently with a bad result, but expecting a different result
considered sane policy? Our decades of confronting Iran have not done a thing
for us. Iran’s next step? Stockpile the stuff that fuels nuclear weapons. Fail. Tariff-loving Trump’s finalizing a trade
agreement with the People’s Republic of China to save American consumers
billions of dollars of price increases and preserve hundreds of thousands of
related U.S. jobs. Fail. Are you
tired of so much winning and more winning? Fail.
I’m Peter Dekom, and bully-tactics on a global stage almost always generate
particularly nasty unintended consequences.
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