Sunday, July 22, 2018
Natural vs Artificial Intelligence
Looking
at the analytics required for sustained, concentrated and prolonged research,
you can see scientists and mathematicians spending decades in exceptionally
narrow-focused study to solve increasingly complex problems. Even with the most
advanced super-computers, making trillions of calculations per second, the
humans generating the data, asking the questions and shifting the emphasis are
among the most brilliant individuals in the world. Adding such minds to artificial
intelligence (self-teaching computers with massive high-speed processing) is
necessary in a world of incredible technological complexity. Yet, the United
States, it seems, is about to yield its technological supremacy to China,
however.
One
of the pillars of Donald Trump’s trade policy against China has been to tilt
heavily against their rather obvious proclivity to hack into our research
facilities and require information-sharing for companies doing business in the
People’s Republic of China to short-cut that massive research effort. IP theft.
Yet it is worthy to note that as our hypocritcal federal government continues
to defund research grants and pure scientific inquiry within the government as
well as universities and non-profit institutions – tax breaks for the rich take
priority – China has pledged to be the global leader in artificial intelligence
within the next five or six years. Hence the short cuts?
China
has also pledged additional massive funding – hundreds of billions of dollars –
to supplant the US in that technical field, which given the level of increasing
hard patents from the PRC and a decrease in the rate of new hard patents in the
United States, is clearly achievable. Likewise, our continuing shift of the
cost of higher education to enrolled students has saddled young entrants into
the US job market with unsustainable levels of student loan debt. An education
that would be substantially free at almost any university in Germany costs tens
of thousands of dollars a year here. Top Chinese universities are rapidly
following this model as well, as the upgrade primary and secondary education
with heavy spending.
When
you look at the fields in the United States that have generated the greatest
recent wealth here, they are focused on communications and social media patents
(which I refer to as “soft patents”). When you look at young people,
particularly in the United States, you also see the impact of generations
bombarded with too much information, too much content and constantly distracted
and interrupted in this digital era. American X and Y generations would rather
live without a car than their smart phones. Living in this highly distracted
universe appears to have materially altered the thinking processes of the
majority of those generations in a way that is less than positive, one that
might impact our technological competitiveness.
Not
only do scientific findings suggest that these generations are less capable of
prolonged narrow-focused research than prior generations – an essential ability
when dealing in complex scientific and mathematical research – but these
distracted modern realities may actually be creating very unhealthy changes in
the brains of this younger cohort. The July 18th Los Angeles Times
presents some of the underlying research:
“What
with all the swiping, scrolling, snap-chatting, surfing and streaming that
consume the adolescent mind, an American parent might well watch his or her
teen and wonder whether any sustained thought is even possible.
“New
research supports that worry, suggesting that teens who spend more time
toggling among a growing number of digital media platforms exhibit a mounting
array of attention difficulties and impulse-control problems.
“In
a group of more than 2,500 Los Angeles-area high school students who showed no
evidence of attention challenges at the outset, investigators from USC, UCLA
and UC San Diego found that those who engaged in more digital media activities
over a two-year period reported a rising number of symptoms linked to attention-deficit/hyperactivity
disorder.
“The
association between digital media use and ADHD symptoms in teens was modest.
But it was clear enough that it could not be dismissed as a statistical fluke.
On average, with each notch a teen climbed up the scale of digital engagement,
his or her average level of reported ADHD symptoms rose by about 10%.
“The
results do not show that prolific use of digital media causes ADHD symptoms,
much less that it results in a level of impairment that would warrant an ADHD
diagnosis or pharmaceutical treatment… Indeed, it’s possible the relationship
is reversed — that attention problems drive an adolescent to more intensive
online engagement.
“But
at a time when 95% of adolescents own or have access to a smartphone and 45%
said they are online ‘almost constantly,’ the new study raises some stark
concerns about the future of paying attention. It was published Tuesday in the
Journal of the American Medical Assn.
“The
findings come as mental health professionals are rethinking their understanding
of ADHD, a psychiatric condition that was long thought to start in early
childhood and last across a lifetime. Marked by impulsivity, hyperactivity and
difficulty sustaining attention, ADHD is estimated to affect about 7% of
children and adolescents.
“But
the disorder is increasingly being diagnosed in older teens and adults, and in
some it waxes and wanes across a lifespan. Whether its symptoms were missed
earlier, developed later or are brought on by changing circumstances is
unclear.
“The
new research, involving 2,587 sophomores and juniors attending public schools
in Los Angeles County, raises the possibility that, for some, ADHD symptoms are
brought on or exacerbated by the hyper-stimulating entreaties of a winking,
pinging, vibrating, always-on marketplace of digital offerings that is as close
as the wireless device in their pocket.”
We
need a ground-up retooling of how we integrate children into a competitive
adult world: Not only what and how we teach rising generations, how we
prioritize education, how we pay for it, but what we can do about an
environment that takes such a massive toll on the thinking power and social
compatibility of those who are destined to inherit our future. As current
federal priorities stand, we seem to be heading towards a less competent, less
competitive future where we will increasingly watch other countries take
advantage of our self-inflicted weaknesses and pass us by.
I’m Peter Dekom, and I am afraid that
we are adopting a “Make Sure America is Never Great Again” litany of
self-inflicted “death of a thousand cuts” governmental policies.
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