“Very, very low chance.”
9/3/20: Dr. Moncef Slaoui, chief adviser for the White House vaccine Program, on the probability of a vaccine being ready by November 1st
According to the Centers for Disease Control website, there are many examples of rushed vaccine release that produced disastrous consequences. The most famous: “In 1955, some batches of polio vaccine given to the public contained live polio virus, even though they had passed required safety testing. Over 250 cases of polio were attributed to vaccines produced by one company: Cutter Laboratories. This case, which came to be known as the Cutter Incident, resulted in many cases of paralysis. The vaccine was recalled as soon as cases of polio were detected.
“The Cutter Incident was a
defining moment in the history of vaccine manufacturing and government
oversight of vaccines, and led to the creation of a better system of regulating
vaccines. After the government improved this process and increased oversight,
polio vaccinations resumed in the fall of 1955.” The website also describes
responsive legislation that “compensates” those injured or killed from a failed
vaccine. Money, not restored life or health.
“At
the time [1955], there was no system in place to compensate people who might
have been harmed by a vaccine. Today we have the National
Vaccine Injury Compensation Programexternal icon (VICP),
which uses scientific evidence to determine whether a vaccine might be the
cause of an illness or injury, and provides compensation to individuals found
to have been harmed by a vaccine. The VICP remains a model method for ensuring
that all persons harmed by vaccines are compensated quickly and fairly, while
also protecting companies that make lifesaving products from financially
unsustainable liability claims through the tort system.”
We know that the
entire COVID-19 process from Washington has become totally politicized. As the
President has preordered one hundred million+ units of untested vaccine from
prominent vaccine makers, targeting November 1st (two days before
the election) as the due date – Operation Warp Speed – the feds have sent a
rather chaotic and generally confusing message that governors need to have
plans to deploy that vaccine to the general population. Priorities. Procedures.
Places. But there is no vaccine that clearly is ready or that absolutely will
be ready in time. We don’t even have enough glass phials to hold that vaccine. The
White House still has not issued clear and viable national COVID-19 containment
policies and is still shunting responsibility to the states to solve the
problem.
What’s worse, this
accelerated rush to release a vaccine smacks of the lack of care described in
the polio vaccine rush of 1955. There are growing number of Americans who
simply are not ready to be what they believe to be human guinea pigs, because
the vaccines in the pipeline will not have been through normal and customary
full clinical trials that insure safety. They want to wait to see what happens
to those who step up first… assuming any of the promised dates are met. After
all, the President promised the release of a comprehensive new national
healthcare program proposal by the end of August. Hmmmm. Still waiting.
But if sufficient
vaccinations are not accepted, if the combination of those vaccinated or
previously infected does not hit at least 60% of the population, the disease
will not be contained. Despite the occasional outlier quack doctor to the
contrary (Trump always seems to find one), the medical community overwhelmingly
informs us that herd immunity will not otherwise take place.
Clearly caving to
massive political pressure from the White House, the CDC, Surgeon General,
National Institutes of Health, National
Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, FDA, etc. – all federal
institutions Americans used to have faith in – are making statements and
pledges about the vaccine that are just plain questionable if not terrifying.
Liz Szabo (of Kaiser Health News, a nonprofit news service covering health
issues), writing for the September 3rd Los Angeles Times, explains: “Although two ongoing clinical trials of
30,000 volunteers are expected to conclude by the end of the year, Fauci said
an independent board has the authority to end the trials weeks early if interim
results are overwhelmingly positive or negative.
“The Data and Safety Monitoring
Board could say, ‘The data is so good right now that you can say it’s safe and
effective,’ Fauci said Tuesday [9/2]. In that case, researchers would have ‘a
moral obligation’ to end the trial early and make the active vaccine available
to everyone in the study, he said, including those who had been given placebos
— and accelerate the process to give the vaccine to millions.
“Fauci’s comments come at a time
of growing concern about whether political pressure from the Trump
administration could influence federal regulators and scientists overseeing the
nation’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic, and erode shaky public confidence
in vaccines. Prominent vaccine experts have said they fear that President Trump
is pushing for an early vaccine approval to help win reelection.
“Fauci, the director of the
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said he trusts the
independent members of the Data and Safety Monitoring Board — who are not
government employees — to hold vaccines to high standards without being influenced
by politics. Members of the board are typically experts in vaccine science and
biostatistics who teach at major medical schools… ‘If you are making a decision
about the vaccine, you’d better be sure you have very good evidence that it is
both safe and effective,’ Fauci said. ‘I’m not concerned about political
pressure.’…
“Safety boards set ‘stopping rules’
at the beginning of a study, making their criteria for ending a trial very
clear, said Dr. Eric Topol , executive vice president at Scripps Research in
San Diego and an expert on the use of data in medical research… Although the
safety board can recommend stopping a trial, the ultimate decision to halt a
study is made by the scientists running the trial, Topol said.
“A vaccine manufacturer could then
apply to the Food and Drug Administration for an emergency use authorization,
which can be granted quickly, or continue through the regular drug approval
process, which requires more time and evidence… Safety monitors also can stop a
trial because of safety concerns, ‘if it looks like it’s actually harming
people in the vaccine arm, due to a lot of adverse events,’ Fauci said…
“Topol and other scientists have
sharply criticized the FDA in recent weeks, accusing Dr. Stephen Hahn , the
agency’s commissioner, of bowing to political pressure from the Trump
administration, which has pushed the agency to approve COVID-19 treatments
faster.
“Stopping trials early poses a
number of risks, such as making a vaccine look more effective than it really
is, Topol said…. ‘If you stop something early, you can get an exaggerated
benefit that isn’t real,’ because less positive evidence only emerges later,
Topol said.
“Stopping the studies early also
could prevent researchers from recruiting more minority volunteers. So far,
only about 1 in 5 trial participants are Black or Latino. Given that people in
these groups have been hit harder by the pandemic, it’s important that they
make up a larger part of vaccine trials, Topol said.
“Ending vaccine trials early also
carries safety risks, said Dr. Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education
Center at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia… A smaller, shorter trial could
fail to detect important vaccine side effects, which could become apparent only
after millions of people have been immunized, said Offit, who serves on a
National Institutes of Health advisory panel.” Masks are politicized. Safe
distancing and opening businesses and schools are politicized. And even the
manufacture and non-fully tested release of a potential vaccine are
politicized. All focused on November 3rd, come hell or high water.
Election day. And the second wave is looming!
I’m
Peter Dekom, and as ethically bound medical doctors and scientists are pushed
aside, politicians making their usually litany of “promises” have rushed in to
take their place under a White House mandate.
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