Tuesday, February 25, 2014
$700 Billion Later
That doesn’t include all the future veteran pension, healthcare and
disability benefits that will linger for decades to come. Yup, it’s the basic
cost to the United States government (since 2001) for its involvement in the
clearly failed effort in Afghanistan (see below). It doesn’t count the $818
billion cost of other clearly failed military effort – oops there goes another
car bomb in Baghdad and another al Qaeda raid against Shiite targets… anywhere
– in Iraq, a government that by reason of its overwhelming Shiite population
(60%) has effectively turned that country into a political satellite of
Shiite-dominated Iran. Austerity? Budget cuts? We don’t have money for schools,
infrastructure and the poor? The Bush administration got us woefully into this
under-thought mess, and the Obama administration couldn’t figure out how to
extract our troops from these unwinnable wars within anything like a reasonable
time.
We had the Taliban by the tail early in the engagement (right after our
counter in 2001), but instead of finishing the job, we repositioned our troop
priorities to Iraq in 2003, allowing the Taliban who gave comfort to the 9/11
al Qaeda attackers to rebuild their power based, reinforce their military
capacity and raise money from sympathizers all over the world. They
specifically reconfigured their forces and underlying strategy to decimate NATO
priorities and begin the long, lingering effort to take down the mega-mega-corrupt
Karzai government (which is termed out this year… likely to be replaced by
another regime with a need to fill its coffers to mirror the wealth siphoned
off by Karzai and his cronies). They might share power with some regional war
lords, but it seems that taking down the U.S.-installed government in Kabul is
a Taliban priority.
While we struggle in our negotiations with Kabul to leave some NATO
forces behind after the bulk of our troops are withdrawn by the end of the year
(there are no longer regular parts of the combat forces in the country), an
ungrateful Karzai is playing to the Taliban crowd in the hopes of working out
some power-sharing arrangement so that his cronies can keep their ill-gotten
gains (at least those not exported to Swiss bank accounts).
Why would Americans even want to stay? Oh yeah, we can use bases in
Afghanistan to launch our much loved drone strikes against Taliban and al Qaeda
targets in Afghanistan… but mostly in that nefarious tribal district in western Pakistan, a no-man’s land filled with
well-armed, Western-hating terrorists with death and destruction on their mind.
And though Pakistan has repeatedly stated that it abhors such anonymous strikes
from above, they too are struggling against their own Taliban insurgency.
So how exactly is the “legitimate” Afghan army doing against the Taliban
insurgency? Here one of a litany of rolling failures: “Taliban insurgents
overran an Afghan National Army base near [Asadabad on the morning of February
23rd], killing 21 soldiers in their bunks in what appeared to be the worst
single blow to government forces since 2010, according to both government and
insurgent officials.
“President Hamid Karzai ordered an investigation and canceled a planned
state visit to Sri Lanka in response to the attack, in the Ghaziabad district
of Kunar Province, near the eastern border with Pakistan.
“The attack highlighted the vulnerability of Afghan military units,
which are generally no longer accompanied by American or other NATO advisers
and do not have the close air support they often enjoyed. And it raised
questions about the Afghans’ ability to hold out against the insurgents on
their own as the NATO mission winds down and international forces prepare to
leave Afghanistan at the end of 2014… At the same time, there were new signals
that efforts to start peace talks with the insurgents were foundering.” New
York Times, February 24th.
As Chinese troops practice beach landings, sending a clear message to
Japan about who really controls the Senkaku islands in the East China Sea,
Ukraine struggles to replace and regenerate a government in direct
contravention of Vladimir Putin’s aspirations for this economically and
politically decimated nation, as the civil war in Syria seems unending, as Iran
seems to be falling behind on its de-nuclearization pledge, and as riots
continue to plague Thailand and Venezuela, it fascinating to watch how little
foreign policy matters in the great debates within the United States.
While the Democrats have former Senator/Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton and Vice President Joe Biden with relevant international expertise, the
GOP seems to have zero viable presidential aspirants with any relevant foreign
policy experience whatsoever. It’s not an issue that seems to matter to them. All
we hear is the sleepwalking-mantra of keeping our military at current or higher
levels, notwithstanding the legacy of military failure that has been our
overwhelming pattern since the Vietnam War.
But the harsh reality of budget cuts is impacting our military
nevertheless: “The Pentagon said on [February 24th] it would shrink the U.S.
Army to pre-World War Two levels, eliminate the popular A-10 aircraft and
reduce military benefits in order to meet 2015 spending caps, setting up an
election-year fight with the Congress over national defense priorities…
[Defense Secretary Chuck] Hagel said the Pentagon plans to reduce the size of
the Army to between 440,000 and 450,000 soldiers. The Army is currently about
520,000 soldiers and had been planning to draw down to about 490,000 in the
coming year.”
Reuters.com, February 25th. Lacking any senior diplomatic stars and
relying heavily on a simple military threat, senior GOP members of Congress
immediately protested that the United States cannot afford to reduce their
armed forces.
If we are going to keep our nation safe in an unpredictable and hostile
world, we need more than sophisticated weapon systems to defuse global
situations that threaten our food supply, fuel prices and undermine our
economic and political goals everywhere. Come on, GOP, we know you can do
better! Come on Senate, the world is a tough place so deal with it. And as for
you House, you might consider picking up some history books to see the mistakes
others have made that you seem destined to repeat.
I’m Peter Dekom, and for a multicultural nation,
it seems that we have less of an understanding of global issues than we have
had in almost a century.
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